PPA Ownership & Buyout Analysis

Identify the lowest-risk and most cost-effective ownership structure.

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PPAs Hide Long-Term Trade-Offs

Power Purchase Aggrements (PPA) are often positioned as simple, low-risk solutions. In reality, they embed long-term pricing, escalation, and control assumptions that materially affect value over time.

Once signed, those assumptions are expensive to reverse.

Unclear Buyout Economics

Buyout prices are often presented without clarity on how they compare to continued PPA payments or alternative ownership structures.

Misaligned Incentives

PPA providers optimize for deal economics, not necessarily long-term value for the asset owner.

Limited Visibility Into Future Risk

Escalators, performance degradation, market pricing, and policy changes can materially shift outcomes over a 15–25 year contract.

Compare Ownership Paths Before You Lock One In

We independently evaluate PPA terms, buyout options, and ownership scenarios to clarify long-term costs, risks, and strategic trade-offs.

The goal is not to push ownership or a PPA. The goal is to identify which structure holds up economically over time.

What the Analysis Covers

A structured review of PPA economics and ownership alternatives to support confident, defensible decisions.

  • PPA Contract Economics: Pricing structure, escalation rates, contract length, termination provisions, and embedded assumptions.
  • Buyout Options & Timing: Economic evaluation of early, mid-term, and end-of-term buyout scenarios.
  • Ownership Cost Comparison: Side-by-side comparison of continued PPA payments versus asset ownership.
  • Cash Flow & Returns: Net present value, effective cost of energy, and long-term cash flow implications under each option.
  • Risk Allocation: Who bears performance, market, policy, and operating risk under each structure.
  • Scenario & Sensitivity Analysis: How outcomes change under different pricing, performance, incentive, and market conditions.
  • Opportunity Cost of Capital: Comparison against alternative uses of capital to assess relative attractiveness

Built for Decisions That Matter

We deliver clear, independent economic analysis that enables decision-makers to allocate capital with confidence across clean energy and sustainability investments.

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Decision-First Economics

Economic analysis focused on the questions decision-makers actually need answered.

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No Advocacy, Just Evidence

Independent evaluation of clean energy and sustainability investments using established economic methods.

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Built to Hold Up

Clear, defensible results designed for regulatory, legal, and public review.

How We Work

Our work follows a structured, decision-first process designed to support high-stakes clean energy and sustainability investments under real-world constraints.

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Decision Framing & Scoping

We start by clarifying the decision at hand, the constraints you face, and the level of regulatory, financial, or public scrutiny the analysis must withstand.

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Data Review & Assumption Validation

We review available data, internal models, and external benchmarks. Key assumptions are identified, tested, and documented before analysis begins.

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Data Analysis

We analyze the data using appropriate economic, statistical, or quantitative methods based on the decision context and available information. This may include descriptive analysis, modeling, scenario testing, or other methods as warranted by the question.

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Decision-Ready Outputs

Results are synthesized into clear, structured findings designed for boards, regulators, investors, or public review.

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Implementation Support (Optional)

When needed, we support proposal review, contract comparisons, and final decision checkpoints before capital is committed.

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When Our Work is a Fit

We work with policymakers, regulators, utilities, and investors making high-stakes clean energy and sustainability decisions where economic precision and accountability are required.

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You are evaluating or managing $5M+ clean energy investments.

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You need defensible economic analysis.

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You are comparing multiple project structures or proposals.

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Your decision will be reviewed by regulators, boards, or the public.

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Your internal financial models exceed 10–20 assumptions.

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Your project lifespan is 15–30 years.

Who We Work With

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Real Estate Investors

Institutional and private investors assessing how energy costs, regulation, and sustainability requirements affect asset value and long-term returns.

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Real Estate Owners & Developers

Organizations evaluating on-site solar, PPAs, or energy retrofits across commercial, industrial, or multi-family portfolios.

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Renewable Energy Developers

Developers comparing project structures, pricing assumptions, and long-term economics before committing capital.

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Policymakers & Regulators

State and local agencies evaluating clean energy, environmental, land use, or housing policies that require defensible cost–benefit and economic impact analysis.

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Utilities & Energy Authorities

Public and private utilities assessing solar, storage, grid investments, and compliance costs under regulatory and reliability constraints.

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Public & Institutional Asset Managers

Universities, municipalities, and public entities managing large property portfolios with long investment horizons and accountability requirements.

Planning a Major Clean Energy Investment?

Use a short consultation to determine whether cost–benefit analysis is the right next step.

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Ongoing Fractional Economist

Ongoing economic support for repeated clean energy investment decisions.

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Pre-Regulatory & Investment Scoping

Clarify economic requirements and decision criteria prior to formal analysis.

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Post-Installation Financial Analysis

Compare actual results to projections to evaluate investment performance.

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